With England reeling at 72/3, India is just seven wickets away from a historic Test victory at Edgbaston. Weather-related delays could postpone India’s victory, but the visitors are still strong favourites to tie the series because of their commanding lead and potent bowling.
India is just seven wickets away from clinching a series-levelling win against England as Day 5 of the second Test at Edgbaston approaches. After piling up 587 in the first innings and declaring at 427/6 in the second, the visitors set England a near-impossible target of 608. By stumps on Day 4 (July 5, 2025), India had already reduced England to 72/3, leaving the hosts needing another 536 runs to win.
IND vs. ENG 2nd Test Day 5: Check Odds, predictions, winning percentage, weather forecast
India’s path to victory could be delayed by rain, which is expected to hit Birmingham on the morning of Day 5. The local weather department has predicted a 79% chance of rain at 7 AM, which could impact the scheduled 10 AM start. However, the skies are likely to clear by the afternoon, with the chance of rain dropping to 22% by 1 PM.
Wind gusts up to 50 km/h and overcast skies may further delay play. A washout or significantly shortened day is England’s best hope of escaping with a draw.
Full match situation at a glance
- India 1st innings: 587 all out
- England 1st innings: 407 all out
- India 2nd innings: 427/6 declared
- England 2nd innings (End of Day 4): 72/3
- England need: 536 runs
- India need: 7 wickets
What are India’s win prediction and odds?
Mohammed Siraj and Akash Deep struck early in England’s second innings, making the most of the helpful conditions. With the pitch expected to deteriorate further, India’s spinners could also come into play as they look to take the remaining seven wickets.
Shubman Gill’s blistering 161 in the second innings, supported by attacking half-centuries from Rishabh Pant (65) and KL Rahul (66), gave India more than enough runs to bowl at.
| Top Performers – Day 4 |
| Shubman Gill (India): 161 (162) – 13 fours, 8 sixes |
| Rishabh Pant (India): 65 (58) – Counter-attacking knock |
| KL Rahul (India): 66 (95) – Solid top-order contribution |
| Mohammed Siraj (India): 2 wickets |
| Akash Deep (India): 1 wicket – Tight opening spell |
IND vs. ENG 2nd Test Day 5 Prediction: India firm favorites unless rain intervenes
India is overwhelmingly favored to win this Test, with winning chances estimated between 85–95%, provided there’s enough play. England’s chance of winning is less than 1%, as chasing 536 on a Day 5 pitch with just 7 wickets in hand is almost unheard of in Test cricket.
The draw is the only realistic alternative outcome, but that hinges entirely on rain washing out major chunks of the final day.
IND vs. ENG 2nd Test: Betting odds snapshot (Day 4 close estimates):
- India Win: 1.05–1.15
- Draw: 7.00–15.00 (rain-dependent)
- England Win: 50.00+ (near-zero chance)
IND vs. ENG 2nd Test Day 5: Key factors for Day 5
- Rain forecast: High chances of morning rain; play may begin after lunch.
- India’s bowling attack: Siraj and Akash Deep will be crucial with the new ball; spin could come into play later.
- England’s resistance: Unlikely to chase the total, but batters like Harry Brook will try to survive for a draw.
IND vs. ENG 2nd Test Day 5: History Insight at Edgbaston
India has never won a Test match at Edgbaston in their cricketing history. Of their eight previous appearances, they’ve lost seven and drawn one. A victory here would not only level the series 1-1 but also mark a historic milestone in India’s overseas Test record.
As it stands, India is on the cusp of rewriting history—weather permitting.
Courtesy: https://www.espncricinfo.com/, https://www.firstpost.com/firstcricket/, https://m.cricbuzz.com/
